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Barry Vesser on California’s Climate Future | CAWG

Barry Vesser on California’s Climate Future

The Marin Conservation League’s Climate Action Working Group spent much of its May meeting grappling with a question increasingly central to California climate politics: how to preserve the state’s environmental ambitions at a moment when affordability concerns, political caution, and industry pressure are reshaping the debate.

The featured speaker, Barry Vesser, Chief Program Officer at The Climate Center, described a challenging political environment for climate policy in California. He pointed to a hostile federal administration, growing public concern over affordability, long-term structural budget deficits, and the pragmatic realities that accompany Governor Newsom’s political ambitions, even as climate change itself continues to accelerate.

Vesser outlined several legislative priorities The Climate Center supported this year, including bills aimed at expanding distributed energy systems, improving battery integration and grid reliability, increasing funding for nature-based climate solutions, and strengthening oversight of refinery and oil-well decommissioning. Two of those measures, SB 1282 and AB 2184, were ultimately killed in committee without a clear explanation.

At the center of the discussion was California’s evolving Cap-and-Invest program, one of the state’s primary climate policy tools. Vesser argued that proposed revisions now before the California Air Resources Board have been substantially weakened after intense lobbying from oil and gas interests. The consequences, he warned, could extend beyond slower emissions reductions. A diluted program would also generate less revenue for the state’s Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund, which finances a range of climate-related programs.

The conversation repeatedly returned to the tension between maintaining ambitious climate goals and addressing concerns about affordability. Vesser urged environmental advocates not to retreat from the urgency of climate action, while also acknowledging the need to plan for the real economic impacts of the transition and avoid policies that primarily benefit industry rather than accelerate emissions reductions.

He also highlighted enhanced geothermal energy as a potentially important piece of California’s long-term energy mix. Unlike wind and solar, geothermal systems can provide continuous baseload power and can be deployed across a wider geographic range. The Climate Action Working Group plans to revisit the topic in greater depth at a future meeting.

The meeting concluded with an update on Bay Area Air Quality Management District Rule 9-6, the controversial regulation intended to phase out new gas-powered water heaters. David Moller reported that district staff had proposed a series of targeted exemptions for low-income homeowners and residents facing unusually high conversion costs, alongside a delayed implementation timeline intended to allow time to develop the process for granting those exceptions.

Even with those modifications, the rule remains politically divisive. Some BAAQMD board members support moving forward with the revised approach, while others continue pushing for indefinite delays under broader affordability concerns. Participants noted that the debate reflects a recurring tension within California climate policy: how to accelerate emissions reductions while maintaining public support during a period of economic anxiety.

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